Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Thursday, 8 October, MSK

Vallejo D. — Royer V.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Vallejo D.57%
Royer V.43%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Vallejo D. to win (57%), came true.

Vallejo D. are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

Over 23.5 games — 47%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Vallejo D. 1548, Royer V. 1466.

Probabilities

Games over 23.547%
Games under 23.553%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Vallejo D. games
  • Royer V. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Vallejo D.

  • 04.10Lehecka J.0:2
  • 03.10Berrettini M.2:0
  • 01.10Jodar R.2:0
  • 29.09Faria J.2:1
  • 28.09Daniel T.2:0

Royer V.

  • 28.09Van De Zandschulp B.1:2
  • 26.09Medvedev D.0:2
  • 23.09Walton A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Paul T.Vallejo D.10 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →