Allsvenskan: matchday 24 predictions
16–19 October · 8 matches · season 2026
Allsvenskan matchday 24: 8 matches, 16–19 October. The model expects 3.0 goals per match on average. Its most likely outcome is a home win in 4 matches, an away win in 3 and a draw in 1. In matchday 23 the most likely outcome came true in 4 of 8 matches.
The round at a glance
- Biggest favourite · Most goals expectedHalmstads BK — HammarbyHammarby 73% to win; most likely score 0:4; 3.4 goals on average; over 2.5: 65%
- Closest matchMalmö FF — Häcken36% v 36%, draw 28%
- Possible upsetBrommapojkarna — DjurgårdenBrommapojkarna 21% to win: the best underdog chance of the round
- Top-of-the-table clashSirius — Elfsborg1st v 4th in the table: 49% v 25%
What is at stake
Sirius lead with 54 points from 23 matches; Djurgården are second, 10 points behind. The leader’s game this round: Sirius — Elfsborg, 49% to win. Title chances by the season forecast: Sirius 88%, Djurgården 7%.
In the relegation and relegation play-off places: Kalmar FF, Örgryte and Halmstads BK; they are 1 to 6 points behind 13th place. A game at the bottom: Degerfors — Kalmar FF. Most at risk by the season forecast: Halmstads BK, 97% to go down.
The matches
Friday, 16 October
- 2125532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
Saturday, 17 October
- 4226321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
Sunday, 18 October
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 1925562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.0
- 3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- 1018732The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:43.4
Monday, 19 October
- 343135XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
Probabilities: home win, draw, away win in 90 minutes; under the most likely outcome, its most likely score. The estimates are updated until kick-off.
Allsvenskan: matches and table →Season forecast →Power rankings →