FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Accrington Stanley — Wycombe Wanderers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Wycombe Wanderers are slightly stronger: 46% against 28%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Wycombe Wanderers are 57 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Accrington Stanley — Wycombe Wanderers What is xG? | 1.2–1.6 | |
| Accrington Stanley not to lose | 54% | |
| Wycombe Wanderers not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Accrington Stanley
- Accrington Stanley goals
- Wycombe Wanderers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Accrington Stanley | Wycombe Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.07 | 0.55 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.11 | 0.63 |
| Shots | 14.0 | 11.0 |
| On target | 4.7 | 3.8 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 46 |
Form
- 08.08away · Crewe Alexandra1:2
- 06.12Mansfield Town2:2
- 02.11away · Gainsborough2:1
- 26.08Doncaster Rovers0:2
- 12.08Peterborough United2:1
- 07.08Stevenage1:2
- 06.12away · Exeter City0:4
- 01.11Plymouth Argyle2:0
- 28.10Fulham1:1
- 23.09away · Wigan Athletic2:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →