FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Luton Town — Forest Green Rovers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Luton Town are clear favourites: 60% against 17% for the opponent, draw 22%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Luton Town are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
- Luton Town are 253 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Luton Town — Forest Green Rovers What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| Luton Town not to lose | 83% | |
| Forest Green Rovers not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Luton Town
- Luton Town goals
- Forest Green Rovers goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
- 27.08away · Chelsea0:2
- 08.08away · Gillingham3:0
- 06.12away · Fleetwood Town2:2
- 31.10Forest Green Rovers4:3
- 12.08away · Coventry City0:1
- 31.10away · Luton Town3:4
- 02.11away · Stockport County1:2
- 19.12away · Blackpool0:3
- 12.12away · Scarborough Athletic4:2
- 04.11away · Scarborough Athletic1:1
Head to head
- 31.10.2025Luton Town — Forest Green Rovers4:3
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →