FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Mansfield Town — Macclesfield FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Mansfield Town are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Mansfield Town are 192 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mansfield Town — Macclesfield FC What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Mansfield Town not to lose | 74% | |
| Macclesfield FC not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mansfield Town
- Mansfield Town goals
- Macclesfield FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Mansfield Town | Macclesfield FC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 0.75 | 1.33 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.84 | 1.33 |
| Shots | 11.0 | 14.3 |
| On target | 4.5 | 6.0 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 4.0 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 3.7 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 39 |
Form
- 09.08Sheffield United0:3
- 07.03Arsenal1:2
- 14.02away · Burnley2:1
- 11.01away · Sheffield United4:3
- 06.12away · Accrington Stanley2:2
- 16.02Brentford0:1
- 10.01Crystal Palace2:1
- 07.12away · Slough Town3:1
- 01.11AFC Totton6:3
- 10.11Kingstonian0:4
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →