Super League Greece, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
AEK Athens — Levadiakos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
AEK Athens are clear favourites: 81% against 4% for the opponent, draw 14%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AEK Athens are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
- AEK Athens are 318 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: AEK Athens — No. 4, 17 pts; Levadiakos — No. 11, 6 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Last 4 meetings: AEK Athens 3 wins, Levadiakos 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AEK Athens — Levadiakos What is xG? | 2.3–0.6 | |
| AEK Athens not to lose | 96% | |
| Levadiakos not to lose | 19% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap AEK Athens
- AEK Athens goals
- Levadiakos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | AEK Athens | Levadiakos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.85 | 0.87 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| Shots | 16.3 | 9.5 |
| On target | 5.1 | 2.5 |
| Corners | 5.0 | 3.9 |
| Cards | 1.9 | 2.2 |
| Possession, % | 55 | 45 |
Form
- 01.11away · Panathinaikos0:2
- 24.10Panetolikos5:0
- 20.10away · Manchester City1:5
- 14.10away · Shakhtar Donetsk1:3
- 10.10OFI Crete3:0
- 01.11Aris Thessaloniki3:0
- 24.10away · Asteras Tripolis0:0
- 17.10NFC Volos0:0
- 11.10away · Iraklis0:2
- 20.09Olympiacos0:1
Head to head
- 22.02.2026AEK Athens — Levadiakos4:0
- 14.09.2025Levadiakos — AEK Athens0:1
- 22.12.2024AEK Athens — Levadiakos1:1
- 01.09.2024Levadiakos — AEK Athens0:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | PAOK Thessaloniki | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | AEK Athens | 8 | 5 | +16 | 17 |
| 5 | OFI Crete | 9 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 9 | 3 | -9 | 9 |
| 11 | Levadiakos | 9 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 1 | -9 | 6 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- 4828231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 1225642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.6
- 4730221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 81% will not happen in roughly 19 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →