Super League Greece, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Asteras Tripolis — Kalamata
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Asteras Tripolis are clear favourites: 48% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- In recent matches the betting market rated Asteras Tripolis higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- League table: Asteras Tripolis — No. 12, 6 pts; Kalamata — No. 8, 11 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Asteras Tripolis — Kalamata What is xG? | 1.7–1.2 | |
| Asteras Tripolis not to lose | 77% | |
| Kalamata not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Asteras Tripolis
- Asteras Tripolis goals
- Kalamata goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Asteras Tripolis | Kalamata |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| xG per match | 1.03 | 1.45 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.74 | 1.38 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 11.0 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 3.9 | 2.4 |
| Cards | 2.1 | 3.2 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 43 |
Form
- 01.11away · PAOK Thessaloniki1:2
- 24.10Levadiakos0:0
- 18.10away · Panathinaikos1:5
- 10.10Atromitos2:1
- 20.09away · OFI Crete2:2
- 02.11Iraklis1:1
- 25.10away · Olympiacos0:5
- 18.10OFI Crete4:3
- 12.10away · PAOK Thessaloniki3:1
- 20.09Panathinaikos0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Kifisia FC | 9 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | Iraklis | 9 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | Levadiakos | 9 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 1 | -9 | 6 |
| 13 | Atromitos | 8 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- 811441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- 1225642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.6
- 4730221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →