Super League Greece, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Olympiacos — PAOK Thessaloniki
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Olympiacos are clear favourites: 65% against 12% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Olympiacos are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Olympiacos are 157 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Olympiacos — No. 2, 22 pts; PAOK Thessaloniki — No. 3, 18 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Olympiacos: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Olympiacos 1 win, PAOK Thessaloniki 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Olympiacos — PAOK Thessaloniki What is xG? | 2.0–0.8 | |
| Olympiacos not to lose | 88% | |
| PAOK Thessaloniki not to lose | 35% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Olympiacos
- Olympiacos goals
- PAOK Thessaloniki goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Olympiacos | PAOK Thessaloniki |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.5 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.70 | 1.43 |
| Shots | 17.9 | 15.3 |
| On target | 4.9 | 4.9 |
| Corners | 7.2 | 5.3 |
| Cards | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 57 | 51 |
Form
- 31.10away · Kifisia FC3:2
- 25.10Kalamata5:0
- 22.10Sparta Prague1:0
- 18.10away · Panetolikos2:0
- 15.10away · Marseille1:0
- 01.11Asteras Tripolis2:1
- 25.10away · OFI Crete1:2
- 18.10Iraklis2:1
- 12.10Kalamata1:3
- 20.09away · Panetolikos3:1
Head to head
- 10.05.2026Olympiacos — PAOK Thessaloniki1:1
- 03.05.2026PAOK Thessaloniki — Olympiacos3:1
- 08.03.2026Olympiacos — PAOK Thessaloniki0:0
- 05.10.2025PAOK Thessaloniki — Olympiacos2:1
- 04.05.2025Olympiacos — PAOK Thessaloniki4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 9 | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 9 | 7 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | PAOK Thessaloniki | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 4 | AEK Athens | 8 | 5 | +16 | 17 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- 811441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- 4828231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 1225642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.6
- 4730221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →