Super League Greece, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Iraklis — Panathinaikos
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In short
Panathinaikos are clear favourites: 64% against 12% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Panathinaikos are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
- Panathinaikos are 126 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Iraklis — No. 9, 10 pts; Panathinaikos — No. 1, 24 pts. A gap of 14 pts.
- Panathinaikos: 5 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Iraklis — Panathinaikos What is xG? | 0.7–1.8 | |
| Iraklis not to lose | 36% | |
| Panathinaikos not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Iraklis
- Iraklis goals
- Panathinaikos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Iraklis | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| xG per match | 0.70 | 2.56 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.60 | 0.67 |
| Shots | 9.4 | 20.2 |
| On target | 2.2 | 6.8 |
| Corners | 2.8 | 7.8 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 43 | 63 |
Form
- 02.11away · Kalamata1:1
- 24.10Kifisia FC2:3
- 18.10away · PAOK Thessaloniki1:2
- 11.10Levadiakos2:0
- 19.09away · Aris Thessaloniki0:0
- 01.11AEK Athens2:0
- 25.10away · NFC Volos1:0
- 22.10away · Kairat Almaty5:1
- 18.10Asteras Tripolis5:1
- 15.10Borac Banja Luka2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 9 | 8 | +16 | 24 |
| 2 | Olympiacos | 9 | 7 | +11 | 22 |
| 8 | Kalamata | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | Iraklis | 9 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 10 | Panetolikos | 9 | 3 | -9 | 9 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- 811441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- 4828231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4730221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →