Super League Greece, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
OFI Crete — Atromitos
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
OFI Crete are clear favourites: 47% against 22% for the opponent, draw 30%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- OFI Crete are 141 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: OFI Crete — No. 5, 16 pts; Atromitos — No. 13, 5 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: OFI Crete 1 win, Atromitos 2, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: OFI Crete — Atromitos What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| OFI Crete not to lose | 78% | |
| Atromitos not to lose | 53% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap OFI Crete
- OFI Crete goals
- Atromitos goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | OFI Crete | Atromitos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.08 | 1.24 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.59 | 1.18 |
| Shots | 8.8 | 11.5 |
| On target | 3.1 | 3.9 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 3.4 |
| Cards | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 50 |
Form
- 01.11away · Panetolikos1:0
- 25.10PAOK Thessaloniki2:1
- 22.10Bayer Leverkusen0:2
- 18.10away · Kalamata3:4
- 15.10away · Rennes1:2
- 02.11NFC Volos3:0
- 25.10away · Aris Thessaloniki1:3
- 10.10away · Asteras Tripolis1:2
- 19.09Kifisia FC1:2
- 12.09away · Iraklis1:1
Head to head
- 31.01.2026Atromitos — OFI Crete1:2
- 25.10.2025OFI Crete — Atromitos1:3
- 10.05.2025Atromitos — OFI Crete0:0
- 29.03.2025OFI Crete — Atromitos1:2
- 14.12.2024Atromitos — OFI Crete0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | AEK Athens | 8 | 5 | +16 | 17 |
| 5 | OFI Crete | 9 | 5 | +2 | 16 |
| 6 | Aris Thessaloniki | 9 | 5 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Asteras Tripolis | 9 | 1 | -9 | 6 |
| 13 | Atromitos | 8 | 1 | -3 | 5 |
| 14 | NFC Volos | 9 | 0 | -10 | 3 |
Greek Super League on the same day
- 811441The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:02.9
- 4828231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 1225642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.6
- 6523121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 47% will not happen in roughly 53 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →