Swedish Allsvenskan, round 28 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
AIK — Häcken
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Häcken are clear favourites: 56% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.9.
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Häcken are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- In recent matches the betting market rated Häcken higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- League table: AIK — No. 8, 38 pts; Häcken — No. 4, 49 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Häcken: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: AIK 0 wins, Häcken 2, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AIK — Häcken What is xG? | 1.3–2.1 | |
| AIK not to lose | 44% | |
| Häcken not to lose | 79% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | AIK | Häcken |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.2 | 0.4 |
| xG per match | 1.77 | 1.66 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.02 | 0.93 |
| Shots | 15.0 | 17.9 |
| On target | 5.2 | 6.4 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 6.2 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Possession, % | 57 | 53 |
Form
- 02.11away · GAIS1:2
- 27.10Elfsborg2:2
- 24.10away · Sirius2:1
- 17.10IFK Göteborg2:2
- 10.10Brommapojkarna5:6
- 01.11IFK Göteborg1:0
- 28.10away · Brommapojkarna0:0
- 24.10Degerfors4:0
- 18.10away · Malmö FF1:0
- 11.10Örgryte3:0
Head to head
- 27.07.2026Häcken — AIK0:0
- 26.10.2025AIK — Häcken2:2
- 14.05.2025Häcken — AIK3:3
- 06.10.2024AIK — Häcken0:2
- 02.06.2024Häcken — AIK4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Djurgården | 27 | 16 | +30 | 52 |
| 4 | Häcken | 27 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 27 | 12 | +14 | 46 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12 | +6 | 40 |
| 8 | AIK | 27 | 10 | -4 | 38 |
| 9 | IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10 | -10 | 38 |
Allsvenskan on the same day
- 4228311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 1019712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
- 3528382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →