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Swedish Allsvenskan, round 28 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

IFK Göteborg — Malmö FF

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Model prediction for 8 November

IFK Göteborg42%
Draw28%
Malmö FF31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

IFK Göteborg are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 28%.

3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • IFK Göteborg are 83 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: IFK Göteborg — No. 9, 38 pts; Malmö FF — No. 7, 40 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
  • IFK Göteborg: winless in 4.
  • Last 5 meetings: IFK Göteborg 1 win, Malmö FF 3, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: IFK Göteborg — Malmö FF What is xG?1.6–1.4
IFK Göteborg not to lose69%
Malmö FF not to lose58%
No draw72%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.559%
Total under 2.541%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap IFK Göteborg
  • IFK Göteborg goals
  • Malmö FF goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatIFK GöteborgMalmö FF
Goals scored per match1.41.0
Goals conceded per match0.80.9
xG per match1.351.27
Opponents’ xG1.191.22
Shots15.716.2
On target5.15.6
Corners6.85.5
Cards1.62.1
Possession, %5056

Averages per match: IFK Göteborg — the last 10, Malmö FF — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

IFK Göteborg

  • 01.11away · Häcken0:1
  • 28.10Djurgården1:1
  • 25.10away · GAIS1:1
  • 17.10away · AIK2:2
  • 09.10Västerås SK1:0

Malmö FF

  • 01.11Hammarby1:2
  • 28.10away · Halmstads BK3:0
  • 23.10away · Elfsborg0:0
  • 18.10Häcken0:1
  • 12.10Kalmar FF1:0

Head to head

  • 12.07.2026Malmö FF — IFK Göteborg4:0
  • 24.08.2025Malmö FF — IFK Göteborg0:0
  • 25.05.2025IFK Göteborg — Malmö FF1:0
  • 28.10.2024Malmö FF — IFK Göteborg2:1
  • 13.05.2024IFK Göteborg — Malmö FF0:3

Full record: 11 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Västerås SK27135940–38+244
7Malmö FF271241142–36+640
8AIK27108943–47-438
9IFK Göteborg27108936–46-1038
10GAIS271071034–27+737

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

  • Halmstads BKDjurgården
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
  • AIKHäcken
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
  • BrommapojkarnaMjällby
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
  • Kalmar FFSirius
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →