Swedish Allsvenskan, round 28 · Sunday, 8 November, 18:30 (UTC+3)

Brommapojkarna — Mjällby

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Model prediction for 8 November

Brommapojkarna35%

Draw28%

Mjällby38%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

In short

Evenly matched: Brommapojkarna 35%, Mjällby 38%, draw 28%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Brommapojkarna are 85 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Brommapojkarna — No. 11, 34 pts; Mjällby — No. 12, 27 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Last 5 meetings: Brommapojkarna 0 wins, Mjällby 3, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brommapojkarna — Mjällby What is xG?		1.4–1.4
Brommapojkarna not to lose		62%
Mjällby not to lose		65%
No draw		72%
Both teams to score: yes		61%
Both teams to score: no		39%
Total over 2.5		56%
Total under 2.5		44%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna goals
Mjällby goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Brommapojkarna	Mjällby
Goals scored per match	1.4	0.8
Goals conceded per match	1.7	1.1
xG per match	1.30	1.14
Opponents’ xG	1.42	1.24
Shots	12.5	13.5
On target	4.5	4.7
Corners	4.6	5.5
Cards	1.6	2.2
Possession, %	45	47

Averages per match: Brommapojkarna — the last 10, Mjällby — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Brommapojkarna

01.11away · Västerås SK0:1
28.10Häcken0:0
24.10away · Kalmar FF3:0
16.10Djurgården0:2
10.10away · AIK6:5

Mjällby

02.11Kalmar FF0:0
29.10away · Örgryte2:1
25.10Hammarby0:2
22.10away · Iberia 19991:1
18.10away · Västerås SK0:1

Head to head

18.04.2026Mjällby — Brommapojkarna3:0
28.09.2025Brommapojkarna — Mjällby0:1
19.05.2025Mjällby — Brommapojkarna1:0
21.09.2024Brommapojkarna — Mjällby0:0
04.05.2024Mjällby — Brommapojkarna1:1

Full record: 7 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
10	GAIS	27	10	7	10	34–27	+7	37
11	Brommapojkarna	27	9	7	11	39–44	-5	34
12	Mjällby	27	6	9	12	30–43	-13	27
13	Kalmar FF	27	6	5	16	23–42	-19	23

Season 2026

Full table

Allsvenskan on the same day

16:00
IFK GöteborgMalmö FF
422831
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
16:00
Halmstads BKDjurgården
101971
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
18:30
AIKHäcken
212456
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
18:30
Kalmar FFSirius
312841
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →