Swedish Allsvenskan, round 28 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Kalmar FF — Sirius
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Sirius are slightly stronger: 41% against 31%, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sirius are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Sirius are 177 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Kalmar FF — No. 13, 23 pts; Sirius — No. 1, 58 pts. A gap of 35 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Kalmar FF 0 wins, Sirius 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kalmar FF — Sirius What is xG? | 1.3–1.5 | |
| Kalmar FF not to lose | 59% | |
| Sirius not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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- Handicap Kalmar FF
- Kalmar FF goals
- Sirius goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Kalmar FF | Sirius |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.2 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.29 | 1.49 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.98 | 1.15 |
| Shots | 13.7 | 13.1 |
| On target | 3.4 | 4.1 |
| Corners | 5.3 | 6.3 |
| Cards | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Possession, % | 51 | 48 |
Form
- 02.11away · Mjällby0:0
- 29.10GAIS0:1
- 24.10Brommapojkarna0:3
- 19.10away · Degerfors2:1
- 12.10away · Malmö FF0:1
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Sirius — Kalmar FF3:2
- 11.08.2024Sirius — Kalmar FF3:1
- 08.04.2024Kalmar FF — Sirius1:2
- 13.08.2023Sirius — Kalmar FF3:0
- 03.05.2023Kalmar FF — Sirius2:2
Table
Allsvenskan on the same day
- 4228311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 1019712The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.1
- 2124562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- 3528382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →