AFC Champions League Elite, round 5 · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)
Al-Ain — Esteghlal
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Al-Ain are clear favourites: 57% against 20% for the opponent, draw 23%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al-Ain are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Al-Ain are 152 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Al-Ain: 4 wins in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Al-Ain — Esteghlal What is xG? | 1.9–1.1 | |
| Al-Ain not to lose | 80% | |
| Esteghlal not to lose | 43% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Al-Ain
- Al-Ain goals
- Esteghlal goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 02.11away · Al Ittihad4:1
- 26.10Tractor2:1
- 12.10away · Al Quwa Al Jawiya4:1
- 15.09Al Nassr FC4:0
- 17.02away · Al Shorta0:2
- 03.11Al-Shamal1:0
- 27.10away · Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC0:2
- 12.10away · Al-Gharafa2:1
- 14.09Al-Sadd3:0
- 10.03away · Al Nassr FC0:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
AFC Champions League Elite on the same day
- Neftchi FargonaAl Hilalpreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- Al-ShamalAl Ahlipreliminary2123562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- TractorAl-Waslpreliminary4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.9
- Al IttihadPakhtakor Tashkentpreliminary5623201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl-Gharafapreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →