AFC Champions League Elite, round 5 · Monday, 23 November, (UTC+3)
Tractor — Al-Wasl
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tractor are clear favourites: 49% against 26% for the opponent, draw 25%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Tractor are 79 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Tractor: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tractor — Al-Wasl What is xG? | 1.7–1.2 | |
| Tractor not to lose | 74% | |
| Al-Wasl not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Tractor
- Tractor goals
- Al-Wasl goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 02.11Neftchi Fargona2:2
- 26.10away · Al-Ain1:2
- 12.10Al-Shamal0:0
- 14.09away · Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC0:1
- 14.04Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai FC0:3
- 02.11Al Quwa Al Jawiya4:3
- 12.10Al Ahli1:3
- 14.09away · Al Qadsiah1:2
- 10.03away · Al-Sadd1:3
- 03.03Al-Sadd1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
AFC Champions League Elite on the same day
- Neftchi FargonaAl Hilalpreliminary1923582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
- Al-AinEsteghlalpreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- Al-ShamalAl Ahlipreliminary2123562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- Al IttihadPakhtakor Tashkentpreliminary5623201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Al Quwa Al JawiyaAl-Gharafapreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →