French Ligue 2, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Annecy FC — Montpellier

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Model prediction for 31 October

Annecy FC39%
Draw31%
Montpellier30%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Annecy FC are slightly stronger: 39% against 30%, draw 31%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 47%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Annecy FC — Montpellier What is xG?1.2–1.1
Annecy FC not to lose70%
Montpellier not to lose61%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes47%
Both teams to score: no53%
Total over 2.539%
Total under 2.561%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Annecy FC
  • Annecy FC goals
  • Montpellier goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Annecy FC

  • 09.10away · Dunkerque1:0
  • 18.09Dijon1:2
  • 12.09away · Guingamp1:2
  • 04.09away · Grenoble2:1
  • 29.08Metz1:1

Montpellier

  • 09.10Grenoble2:0
  • 18.09away · Reims1:1
  • 11.09Pau1:0
  • 05.09away · Saint-Étienne1:3
  • 28.08Boulogne0:0

Head to head

  • 10.04.2026Annecy FC — Montpellier0:0
  • 07.11.2025Montpellier — Annecy FC1:0

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, PromotionRed Star852112–9+317
3, Promotion play-offsMontpellier84318–5+315
4, Promotion play-offsReims835015–9+614
5, Promotion play-offsNancy84139–7+213
6Annecy FC841310–9+113
7Dijon833214–12+212

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • ReimsSochauxpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →