Super League Greece, round 6 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stadio Theodoros Kolokotronis
Asteras Tripolis — Atromitos
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (31%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 31% fails in about 69 matches out of 100 on average.
Evenly matched: Asteras Tripolis 37%, Atromitos 31%, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Asteras Tripolis — Atromitos What is xG? | 1.3–1.2 | |
| Asteras Tripolis not to lose | 69% | |
| Atromitos not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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- Handicap Asteras Tripolis
- Asteras Tripolis goals
- Atromitos goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 20.09away · OFI Crete2:2
- 13.09AEK Athens1:1
- 07.09Iraklis0:2
- 30.08Olympiacos0:1
- 23.08away · Panetolikos1:3
- 19.09Kifisia FC1:2
- 12.09away · Iraklis1:1
- 06.09Kalamata1:1
- 30.08PAOK Thessaloniki1:2
- 22.08away · Olympiacos0:1
Head to head
- 02.05.2026Asteras Tripolis — Atromitos4:2
- 26.04.2026Atromitos — Asteras Tripolis2:1
- 21.02.2026Asteras Tripolis — Atromitos1:2
- 30.11.2025Atromitos — Asteras Tripolis0:1
- 03.05.2025Asteras Tripolis — Atromitos1:4
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Kalamata | 6 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 1 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 | Atromitos | 6 | 0 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 | NFC Volos | 6 | 0 | -6 | 2 |
Next matches
- AtromitosAEK Athens17 October · Greek Super League1627572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- PanathinaikosAsteras Tripolis18 October · Greek Super League741881The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
Greek Super League on the same day
- 801461The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:1.3.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →