Chilean Liga de Primera, round 27 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Audax Italiano — Coquimbo Unido
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Evenly matched: Audax Italiano 37%, Coquimbo Unido 35%, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Coquimbo Unido are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Audax Italiano — No. 13, 30 pts; Coquimbo Unido — No. 8, 35 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Audax Italiano 0 wins, Coquimbo Unido 4, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Audax Italiano 5, Coquimbo Unido 8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Audax Italiano — Coquimbo Unido What is xG? | 1.3–1.3 | |
| Audax Italiano not to lose | 65% | |
| Coquimbo Unido not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Audax Italiano
- Audax Italiano goals
- Coquimbo Unido goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Audax Italiano | Coquimbo Unido |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.07 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 12.2 |
| On target | 4.3 | 4.6 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 5.3 |
| Cards | 3.8 | 2.5 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 47 |
Form
- 03.11away · Deportes Limache0:2
- 29.10away · Universidad Católica1:1
- 24.10Huachipato1:1
- 14.09O'Higgins1:0
- 05.09away · Deportes Concepción1:0
- 31.10Unión La Calera1:0
- 25.10away · Ñublense1:2
- 11.10Colo Colo5:2
- 17.09Huachipato0:1
- 12.09away · Cobresal2:3
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Coquimbo Unido — Audax Italiano3:0
- 24.08.2025Audax Italiano — Coquimbo Unido0:1
- 31.03.2025Coquimbo Unido — Audax Italiano2:1
- 24.08.2024Coquimbo Unido — Audax Italiano1:1
- 29.03.2024Audax Italiano — Coquimbo Unido0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Huachipato | 26 | 10 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 10 | +2 | 35 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 26 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 26 | 9 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 26 | 7 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 26 | 7 | -10 | 27 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- 5622221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- 771491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 2225532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →