Chilean Liga de Primera, round 27 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Universidad Católica — Deportes Limache
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Universidad Católica are clear favourites: 56% against 22% for the opponent, draw 22%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universidad Católica are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Universidad Católica are 170 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Universidad Católica — No. 3, 46 pts; Deportes Limache — No. 4, 40 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
- Last 3 meetings: Universidad Católica 3 wins, Deportes Limache 0.
- Days of rest before the match: Universidad Católica 7, Deportes Limache 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universidad Católica — Deportes Limache What is xG? | 2.0–1.2 | |
| Universidad Católica not to lose | 78% | |
| Deportes Limache not to lose | 44% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Universidad Católica
- Universidad Católica goals
- Deportes Limache goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Universidad Católica | Deportes Limache |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.26 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 10.4 | 13.0 |
| On target | 2.6 | 5.6 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 4.3 |
| Cards | 2.9 | 2.4 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 47 |
Form
- 01.11Universidad de Chile1:0
- 29.10Audax Italiano1:1
- 25.10away · Unión La Calera1:3
- 13.09away · Palestino3:2
- 06.09away · Everton CD1:0
- 03.11Audax Italiano2:0
- 26.10away · Universidad de Concepción1:0
- 12.10Palestino2:2
- 15.09away · Unión La Calera0:1
- 08.09Cobresal3:0
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Deportes Limache — Universidad Católica0:2
- 14.09.2025Deportes Limache — Universidad Católica0:1
- 20.04.2025Universidad Católica — Deportes Limache2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 14 | +24 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 26 | 14 | +16 | 46 |
| 4 | Deportes Limache | 26 | 12 | +11 | 40 |
| 5 | Everton CD | 26 | 11 | +10 | 40 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 771491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 2225532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →