Chilean Liga de Primera, round 27 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Unión La Calera — Huachipato
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Unión La Calera are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- In recent matches the betting market rated Unión La Calera higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- League table: Unión La Calera — No. 16, 21 pts; Huachipato — No. 7, 36 pts. A gap of 15 pts.
- Huachipato: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Unión La Calera 3 wins, Huachipato 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Unión La Calera — Huachipato What is xG? | 1.5–1.0 | |
| Unión La Calera not to lose | 76% | |
| Huachipato not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Unión La Calera
- Unión La Calera goals
- Huachipato goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Unión La Calera | Huachipato |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 11.3 | 11.1 |
| On target | 3.7 | 3.1 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 3.7 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 40 |
Form
- 31.10away · Coquimbo Unido0:1
- 25.10Universidad Católica3:1
- 11.10away · Deportes Concepción1:1
- 15.09Deportes Limache1:0
- 06.09away · O'Higgins1:2
- 01.11La Serena0:0
- 24.10away · Audax Italiano1:1
- 10.10O'Higgins2:0
- 03.10away · Universidad de Concepción2:0
- 17.09away · Coquimbo Unido1:0
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Huachipato — Unión La Calera3:1
- 09.08.2025Huachipato — Unión La Calera1:0
- 08.03.2025Unión La Calera — Huachipato1:0
- 29.07.2024Unión La Calera — Huachipato2:1
- 25.02.2024Huachipato — Unión La Calera0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Palestino | 26 | 11 | +2 | 38 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 26 | 10 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 10 | +2 | 35 |
| 15, Relegation | Universidad de Concepción | 26 | 6 | -28 | 23 |
| 16, Relegation | Unión La Calera | 26 | 5 | -20 | 21 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- 5622221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 771491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 2225532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →