Chilean Liga de Primera, round 27 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Universidad de Chile — Cobresal
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Universidad de Chile are clear favourites: 77% against 9% for the opponent, draw 14%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 64%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universidad de Chile are about 1.3 goals per match stronger.
- Universidad de Chile are 310 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Universidad de Chile — No. 2, 48 pts; Cobresal — No. 14, 27 pts. A gap of 21 pts.
- Cobresal: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Universidad de Chile 0 wins, Cobresal 3, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Universidad de Chile — Cobresal What is xG? | 2.5–0.8 | |
| Universidad de Chile not to lose | 91% | |
| Cobresal not to lose | 23% | |
| No draw | 86% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 64% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 36% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Universidad de Chile
- Universidad de Chile goals
- Cobresal goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Universidad de Chile | Cobresal |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 19.8 | 16.9 |
| On target | 7.2 | 6.4 |
| Corners | 7.1 | 5.5 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| Possession, % | 63 | 44 |
Form
- 01.11away · Universidad Católica0:1
- 27.10Everton CD4:1
- 12.10Ñublense6:0
- 13.09away · La Serena3:0
- 06.09Coquimbo Unido4:2
- 01.11Everton CD2:2
- 25.10away · O'Higgins1:1
- 10.10Universidad de Concepción1:1
- 12.09Coquimbo Unido3:2
- 08.09away · Deportes Limache0:3
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Cobresal — Universidad de Chile1:0
- 05.08.2025Universidad de Chile — Cobresal0:1
- 03.03.2025Cobresal — Universidad de Chile2:1
- 21.07.2024Cobresal — Universidad de Chile3:3
- 26.03.2024Universidad de Chile — Cobresal2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 26 | 18 | +28 | 58 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 14 | +24 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 26 | 14 | +16 | 46 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 26 | 7 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 26 | 7 | -10 | 27 |
| 15, Relegation | Universidad de Concepción | 26 | 6 | -28 | 23 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- 5622221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 2225532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →