Chilean Liga de Primera, round 27 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Ñublense — Colo Colo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Colo Colo are clear favourites: 53% against 22% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Colo Colo are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Colo Colo are 115 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Ñublense — No. 10, 35 pts; Colo Colo — No. 1, 58 pts. A gap of 23 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Ñublense 1 win, Colo Colo 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ñublense — Colo Colo What is xG? | 1.2–1.8 | |
| Ñublense not to lose | 47% | |
| Colo Colo not to lose | 78% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ñublense
- Ñublense goals
- Colo Colo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Ñublense | Colo Colo |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 11.7 | 15.8 |
| On target | 3.6 | 5.6 |
| Corners | 4.2 | 7.4 |
| Cards | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 64 |
Form
- 01.11away · O'Higgins0:1
- 25.10Coquimbo Unido2:1
- 12.10away · Universidad de Chile0:6
- 12.09Everton CD1:3
- 06.09away · La Serena1:2
- 31.10Universidad de Concepción6:1
- 25.10away · Palestino1:1
- 11.10away · Coquimbo Unido2:5
- 13.09Deportes Concepción1:1
- 06.09away · Huachipato0:0
Head to head
- 18.05.2026Colo Colo — Ñublense6:2
- 02.11.2025Ñublense — Colo Colo0:1
- 20.05.2025Colo Colo — Ñublense2:2
- 30.08.2024Colo Colo — Ñublense2:1
- 06.04.2024Ñublense — Colo Colo3:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 26 | 18 | +28 | 58 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 14 | +24 | 48 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 26 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
| 10 | Ñublense | 26 | 9 | -9 | 35 |
| 11 | La Serena | 26 | 8 | -3 | 34 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- 5622221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.2
- 3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- 771491The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →