FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Barnsley — Aldershot Town
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Barnsley are clear favourites: 53% against 22% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Barnsley are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Barnsley are 225 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Barnsley — Aldershot Town What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Barnsley not to lose | 78% | |
| Aldershot Town not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Barnsley
- Barnsley goals
- Aldershot Town goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 15.09away · Peterborough United3:3
- 25.08Crewe Alexandra3:2
- 08.08Wigan Athletic1:1
- 12.01away · Liverpool1:4
- 06.12away · Peterborough United1:0
- 01.11away · Weston Super Mare1:2
- 02.11away · Bradford City1:3
- 07.01away · West Bromwich Albion1:4
- 13.12away · Stockport County1:0
- 03.12Stockport County2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →