EFL Championship, round 14 · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Blackburn Rovers are clear favourites: 50% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Blackburn Rovers are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City What is xG? | 1.5–0.9 | |
| Blackburn Rovers not to lose | 78% | |
| Stoke City not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Blackburn Rovers
- Blackburn Rovers goals
- Stoke City goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 13.10away · Bristol City1:0
- 10.10Cardiff City2:1
- 19.09away · Portsmouth2:2
- 12.09Millwall3:1
- 08.09Sheffield United1:2
- 13.10Middlesbrough2:3
- 10.10away · Bolton Wanderers2:1
- 19.09Sheffield United2:1
- 12.09away · Watford2:1
- 08.09away · Cardiff City1:1
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Stoke City — Blackburn Rovers1:1
- 04.10.2025Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City1:1
- 12.03.2025Stoke City — Blackburn Rovers1:0
- 06.11.2024Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City0:2
- 10.02.2024Blackburn Rovers — Stoke City3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 9 | 4 | +11 | 16 |
| 7, Promotion play-offs | Stoke City | 10 | 5 | +1 | 16 |
| 8, Promotion play-offs | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
Championship on the same day
- Derby CountyNorwich Citypreliminary3829341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- PortsmouthSwansea Citypreliminary3829341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- Preston North EndSheffield Unitedpreliminary3228402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Queens Park RangersBurnleypreliminary3829331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- WatfordLincoln Citypreliminary333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- Charlton AthleticBolton Wandererspreliminary372934XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- Birmingham CityMillwallpreliminary4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- West Bromwich AlbionSouthamptonpreliminary3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →