FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Boreham Wood — Wigan Athletic
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Wigan Athletic are slightly stronger: 44% against 30%, draw 26%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Boreham Wood — Wigan Athletic What is xG? | 1.2–1.5 | |
| Boreham Wood not to lose | 56% | |
| Wigan Athletic not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Boreham Wood
- Boreham Wood goals
- Wigan Athletic goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Boreham Wood | Wigan Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 1.48 | 0.99 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.48 | 0.75 |
| Shots | 17.0 | 8.6 |
| On target | 5.7 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 5.7 | 4.0 |
| Cards | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 42 |
Form
- 10.01Burton Albion0:5
- 07.12Newport County3:0
- 01.11Crawley Town3:0
- 03.11Leyton Orient2:2
- 04.11away · Eastleigh1:5
- 08.08away · Barnsley1:1
- 15.02away · Arsenal0:4
- 09.01away · Preston North End1:0
- 06.12Barrow2:2
- 01.11Hemel Hempstead1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →