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French Ligue 2, round 12 · Friday, 6 November, (UTC+3)

Boulogne — Annecy FC

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Model prediction for 6 November

Boulogne42%
Draw31%
Annecy FC27%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Boulogne are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • In recent matches the betting market rated Boulogne higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.

Facts

  • League table: Boulogne — No. 11, 9 pts; Annecy FC — No. 7, 13 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
  • Last 2 meetings: Boulogne 0 wins, Annecy FC 1, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Boulogne — Annecy FC What is xG?1.3–1.0
Boulogne not to lose73%
Annecy FC not to lose58%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.542%
Total under 2.558%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Boulogne
  • Boulogne goals
  • Annecy FC goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Boulogne

  • 16.10away · Grenoble2:0
  • 09.10away · Sochaux1:1
  • 19.09Nantes1:2
  • 11.09away · Clermont Foot0:0
  • 04.09Dijon1:1

Annecy FC

  • 16.10Nancy1:2
  • 09.10away · Dunkerque1:0
  • 18.09Dijon1:2
  • 12.09away · Guingamp1:2
  • 04.09away · Grenoble2:1

Head to head

  • 02.05.2026Boulogne — Annecy FC1:2
  • 31.10.2025Annecy FC — Boulogne1:1

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Pau942311–9+214
7Annecy FC941411–11013
8Dijon933316–16012
10Metz824212–11+110
11Boulogne91626–609
12Dunkerque822410–13-38

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • DijonRed Starpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.0
  • XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
  • GrenobleReimspreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
  • NancySochauxpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →