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FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Bradford City — Marine

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Model prediction for 7 November

Bradford City54%
Draw24%
Marine22%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Bradford City are clear favourites: 54% against 22% for the opponent, draw 24%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Bradford City are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
  • Bradford City are 232 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • Bradford City: unbeaten in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bradford City — Marine What is xG?1.8–1.1
Bradford City not to lose78%
Marine not to lose46%
No draw76%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Bradford City
  • Bradford City goals
  • Marine goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

Form

Bradford City

  • 27.10Peterborough United2:0
  • 08.09away · Leyton Orient3:1
  • 26.08Burnley0:0
  • 08.08Rochdale2:0
  • 01.11away · Cheltenham Town0:1

Marine

  • 04.11Harrogate Town1:5
  • 10.01Tottenham Hotspur0:5
  • 29.11Havant and Waterlooville1:0
  • 07.11away · Colchester United1:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

FA Cup on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →