UEFA Conference League, round 2 · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Braga — Gent
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Braga are clear favourites: 53% against 22% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Braga are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Braga — Gent What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Braga not to lose | 78% | |
| Gent not to lose | 47% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Braga
- Braga goals
- Gent goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 09.10Sporting CP1:3
- 20.09away · Santa Clara0:0
- 14.09Estoril1:0
- 10.09away · Estrela da Amadora1:2
- 05.09away · Alverca2:1
- 10.10away · Zulte Waregem2:0
- 18.09Standard Liège2:1
- 13.09away · Genk1:1
- 06.09away · Cercle Brugge3:0
- 03.09OH Leuven1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- Kairat AlmatyPanathinaikospreliminary4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- FK Crvena ZvezdaFC Københavnpreliminary3527382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- Pafos FCRiga FCpreliminary5324221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- GetafeLuganopreliminary3727372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- TrabzonsporHeart of Midlothianpreliminary5723201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.9
- JablonecBrighton & Hove Albionpreliminary917742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- NordsjællandCSKA Sofiapreliminary6919121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Inter Club d'EscaldesUniversitatea Craiovapreliminary4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →