Ligue 1, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Brest — Lyon
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Evenly matched: Brest 37%, Lyon 37%, draw 26%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Brest — No. 10, 12 pts; Lyon — No. 3, 17 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Brest 1 win, Lyon 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Brest — Lyon What is xG? | 1.5–1.5 | |
| Brest not to lose | 63% | |
| Lyon not to lose | 63% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Brest | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 1.95 | 1.52 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.18 | 1.20 |
| Shots | 16.6 | 12.3 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| Corners | 4.5 | 4.6 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Possession, % | 48 | 50 |
Form
- 01.11Angers2:0
- 26.10away · Paris Saint-Germain0:2
- 22.10away · Hoffenheim0:3
- 18.10Nice2:1
- 15.10Crystal Palace3:2
Head to head
- 18.01.2026Lyon — Brest2:1
- 02.11.2025Brest — Lyon0:0
- 02.03.2025Lyon — Brest2:1
- 11.01.2025Brest — Lyon2:1
- 14.04.2024Lyon — Brest4:3
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- 4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2527482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 1622622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 5124251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →