Ligue 1, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Le Mans — Monaco
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Monaco are clear favourites: 62% against 16% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Monaco are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Monaco are 68 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Le Mans — No. 17, 7 pts; Monaco — No. 7, 15 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Le Mans: winless in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Le Mans — Monaco What is xG? | 1.1–2.0 | |
| Le Mans not to lose | 38% | |
| Monaco not to lose | 84% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Le Mans | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.36 | 1.24 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.89 | 1.38 |
| Shots | 9.4 | 11.7 |
| On target | 3.7 | 4.4 |
| Corners | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| Cards | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 51 |
Form
- 31.10away · Troyes0:2
- 25.10away · Auxerre1:1
- 16.10Toulouse0:3
- 10.10away · Paris Saint-Germain1:3
- 19.09Lorient2:1
- 01.11away · Paris FC1:3
- 25.10Lille1:1
- 22.10Freiburg3:0
- 18.10away · Lorient0:1
- 15.10away · CSKA Sofia2:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- 4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2527482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 3726371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 4126331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5124251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →