Ligue 1, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Le Havre — Lorient
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Le Havre are slightly stronger: 41% against 33%, draw 26%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- In recent matches the betting market rated Le Havre higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Facts
- League table: Le Havre — No. 18, 2 pts; Lorient — No. 11, 12 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Le Havre: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Le Havre 2 wins, Lorient 0, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Le Havre 9, Lorient 6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Le Havre — Lorient What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Le Havre not to lose | 67% | |
| Lorient not to lose | 59% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Le Havre
- Le Havre goals
- Lorient goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Le Havre | Lorient |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.0 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 1.59 | 1.15 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.81 | 1.11 |
| Shots | 15.1 | 10.6 |
| On target | 4.9 | 2.7 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 3.8 |
| Cards | 1.7 | 1.2 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 49 |
Form
- 30.10Paris Saint-Germain1:5
- 25.10away · Marseille3:4
- 18.10Auxerre1:3
- 10.10away · Lille0:1
- 19.09away · Toulouse2:3
Head to head
- 17.05.2026Lorient — Le Havre0:2
- 21.09.2025Le Havre — Lorient1:1
- 28.01.2024Lorient — Le Havre3:3
- 03.09.2023Le Havre — Lorient3:0
Table
Ligue 1 on the same day
- 4426301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2527482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 3726371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.0
- 1622622The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 5124251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →