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English Premier League, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford

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Model prediction for 8 November

Brighton & Hove Albion49%
Draw27%
Brentford23%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Brighton & Hove Albion are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 27%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.

Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 64%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Brighton & Hove Albion are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • Brighton & Hove Albion are 155 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Brighton & Hove Albion — No. 3, 19 pts; Brentford — No. 6, 14 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Brighton & Hove Albion 2 wins, Brentford 1, 2 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford What is xG?1.8–1.3
Brighton & Hove Albion not to lose77%
Brentford not to lose51%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes64%
Both teams to score: no36%
Total over 2.560%
Total under 2.540%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Brighton & Hove Albion
  • Brighton & Hove Albion goals
  • Brentford goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatBrighton & Hove AlbionBrentford
Goals scored per match2.51.7
Goals conceded per match0.61.3
xG per match1.921.63
Opponents’ xG0.991.56
Shots18.914.0
On target5.34.3
Corners5.54.1
Cards2.12.4
Possession, %5551

Averages per match: Brighton & Hove Albion — the last 10, Brentford — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Brighton & Hove Albion

  • 31.10away · Manchester City1:0
  • 28.10away · Manchester City2:2
  • 25.10away · Liverpool0:2
  • 22.10away · Jablonec0:0
  • 18.10Crystal Palace5:0

Brentford

  • 31.10Nottingham Forest2:0
  • 28.10away · Sunderland2:3
  • 25.10away · Hull City1:1
  • 17.10Liverpool1:2
  • 10.10away · Aston Villa2:2

Head to head

  • 21.02.2026Brentford — Brighton & Hove Albion0:2
  • 22.11.2025Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford2:1
  • 19.04.2025Brentford — Brighton & Hove Albion4:2
  • 27.12.2024Brighton & Hove Albion — Brentford0:0
  • 03.04.2024Brentford — Brighton & Hove Albion0:0

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
2, Champions LeagueManchester City970220–10+1021
3, Champions LeagueBrighton & Hove Albion961224–7+1719
4, Champions LeagueChelsea951319–15+416
5, Europa League or Conference LeagueLiverpool943211–9+215
6Brentford935116–9+714
7Everton93429–9013

Season 2026/27

Full table

Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →