English Premier League, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Sunderland — Chelsea
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Chelsea are slightly stronger: 45% against 26%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Chelsea are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Sunderland — No. 20, 5 pts; Chelsea — No. 4, 16 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Sunderland 2 wins, Chelsea 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sunderland — Chelsea What is xG? | 1.3–1.6 | |
| Sunderland not to lose | 55% | |
| Chelsea not to lose | 74% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Sunderland
- Sunderland goals
- Chelsea goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Sunderland | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.85 | 1.50 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.80 | 1.61 |
| Shots | 15.0 | 13.4 |
| On target | 4.6 | 5.8 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 5.7 |
| Cards | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 49 | 49 |
Form
- 31.10away · Coventry City1:3
- 28.10Brentford3:2
- 25.10Leeds United0:0
- 22.10away · Lech Poznań1:1
- 18.10away · AFC Bournemouth0:2
- 31.10Manchester United2:0
- 28.10away · Liverpool1:1
- 24.10Tottenham Hotspur0:2
- 17.10away · Everton2:0
- 10.10AFC Bournemouth5:1
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Sunderland — Chelsea2:1
- 25.10.2025Chelsea — Sunderland1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Champions League | Brighton & Hove Albion | 9 | 6 | +17 | 19 |
| 4, Champions League | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | +4 | 16 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 19, Relegation | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | -6 | 6 |
| 20, Relegation | Sunderland | 9 | 1 | -10 | 5 |
Premier League on the same day
- 4927231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 1725582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 2426502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →