English Premier League, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Ipswich Town — AFC Bournemouth
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
AFC Bournemouth are clear favourites: 50% against 24% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings AFC Bournemouth are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- AFC Bournemouth are 137 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Ipswich Town — No. 14, 11 pts; AFC Bournemouth — No. 8, 12 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- AFC Bournemouth: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Ipswich Town 1 win, AFC Bournemouth 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ipswich Town — AFC Bournemouth What is xG? | 1.3–1.9 | |
| Ipswich Town not to lose | 50% | |
| AFC Bournemouth not to lose | 76% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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- Handicap Ipswich Town
- Ipswich Town goals
- AFC Bournemouth goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Ipswich Town | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| xG per match | 1.23 | 2.09 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.96 | 0.87 |
| Shots | 11.2 | 16.1 |
| On target | 4.6 | 5.5 |
| Corners | 3.1 | 4.7 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 2.7 |
| Possession, % | 46 | 51 |
Form
- 31.10away · Hull City2:2
- 23.10Nottingham Forest1:1
- 17.10away · Manchester City2:3
- 10.10Fulham2:1
- 19.09away · Everton0:1
- 31.10Leeds United2:0
- 28.10Aston Villa3:0
- 25.10away · Manchester United3:0
- 22.10Milan3:0
- 18.10Sunderland2:0
Head to head
- 02.04.2025AFC Bournemouth — Ipswich Town1:2
- 08.12.2024Ipswich Town — AFC Bournemouth1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Everton | 9 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham Hotspur | 9 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 9 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
Premier League on the same day
- 4927231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 1725582The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.1
- 2629452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →