English Premier League, round 10 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Crystal Palace — Liverpool
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Liverpool are clear favourites: 58% against 17% for the opponent, draw 25%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Liverpool are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Liverpool are 96 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Crystal Palace — No. 18, 7 pts; Liverpool — No. 5, 15 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Crystal Palace 2 wins, Liverpool 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Crystal Palace — Liverpool What is xG? | 1.1–1.9 | |
| Crystal Palace not to lose | 42% | |
| Liverpool not to lose | 83% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Crystal Palace | Liverpool |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| xG per match | 1.14 | 1.70 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.76 | 1.36 |
| Shots | 10.0 | 16.0 |
| On target | 3.7 | 4.6 |
| Corners | 3.8 | 6.3 |
| Cards | 1.9 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 43 | 51 |
Form
- 31.10away · Tottenham Hotspur0:2
- 28.10away · Fulham1:0
- 25.10Newcastle United0:2
- 22.10away · Beşiktaş2:2
- 18.10away · Brighton & Hove Albion0:5
- 01.11Arsenal0:1
- 28.10Chelsea1:1
- 25.10Brighton & Hove Albion2:0
- 20.10Villarreal4:3
- 17.10away · Brentford2:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Liverpool — Crystal Palace3:1
- 29.10.2025Liverpool — Crystal Palace0:3
- 27.09.2025Crystal Palace — Liverpool2:1
- 25.05.2025Liverpool — Crystal Palace1:1
- 05.10.2024Crystal Palace — Liverpool0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Champions League | Chelsea | 9 | 5 | +4 | 16 |
| 5, Europa League or Conference League | Liverpool | 9 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 | Brentford | 9 | 3 | +7 | 14 |
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 1 | -5 | 7 |
| 18, Relegation | Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | -12 | 7 |
| 19, Relegation | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | -6 | 6 |
Premier League on the same day
- 4927231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- 2426502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.1
- 2629452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →