EFL Championship, round 14 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Bristol City — Wolverhampton Wanderers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Wolverhampton Wanderers are slightly stronger: 39% against 32%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Bristol City — No. 12, 14 pts; Wolverhampton Wanderers — No. 10, 14 pts.
- Last 2 meetings: Bristol City 0 wins, Wolverhampton Wanderers 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bristol City — Wolverhampton Wanderers What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Bristol City not to lose | 61% | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Bristol City
- Bristol City goals
- Wolverhampton Wanderers goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10Blackburn Rovers0:1
- 10.10away · Charlton Athletic1:1
- 18.09Watford1:0
- 15.09Lincoln City0:1
- 12.09away · Southampton1:4
- 13.10Bolton Wanderers1:3
- 10.10away · Middlesbrough0:1
- 20.09West Bromwich Albion1:0
- 16.09away · Everton0:1
- 13.09away · Sheffield United1:0
Head to head
- 11.01.2025Bristol City — Wolverhampton Wanderers1:2
- 17.02.2019Bristol City — Wolverhampton Wanderers0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Blackburn Rovers | 10 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Bristol City | 10 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 10 | 3 | -3 | 14 |
Championship on the same day
- Cardiff CityWest Ham Unitedpreliminary2523512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.7
- WrexhamMiddlesbroughpreliminary2629442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →