K League 1 (South Korea), round 35 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Bucheon FC 1995 — Pohang Steelers
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In short
Pohang Steelers are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 32%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pohang Steelers are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Bucheon FC 1995 — No. 11, 32 pts; Pohang Steelers — No. 9, 43 pts. A gap of 11 pts.
- Bucheon FC 1995: 5 defeats in a row; Pohang Steelers: winless in 4.
- Last 3 meetings: Bucheon FC 1995 2 wins, Pohang Steelers 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bucheon FC 1995 — Pohang Steelers What is xG? | 1.0–1.3 | |
| Bucheon FC 1995 not to lose | 58% | |
| Pohang Steelers not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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- Handicap Bucheon FC 1995
- Bucheon FC 1995 goals
- Pohang Steelers goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Bucheon FC 1995 | Pohang Steelers |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 0.57 | 0.74 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| Shots | 9.5 | 10.0 |
| On target | 3.9 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 3.5 | 3.9 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Possession, % | 41 | 46 |
Form
- 01.11away · FC Anyang1:2
- 24.10Gwangju FC0:3
- 17.10away · Ulsan HD FC1:2
- 09.10away · Gangwon FC0:2
- 19.09Gimcheon Sangmu0:2
- 01.11Jeju SK1:1
- 24.10away · Ulsan HD FC2:2
- 18.10FC Anyang0:0
- 09.10away · Incheon United0:3
- 20.09FC Seoul2:1
Head to head
- 22.08.2026Bucheon FC 1995 — Pohang Steelers3:0
- 17.05.2026Bucheon FC 1995 — Pohang Steelers2:0
- 22.03.2026Pohang Steelers — Bucheon FC 19950:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Relegation round | FC Anyang | 34 | 11 | -7 | 46 |
| 9, Relegation round | Pohang Steelers | 34 | 11 | -9 | 43 |
| 10, Relegation round | Gimcheon Sangmu | 34 | 5 | -8 | 35 |
| 11, Relegation round | Bucheon FC 1995 | 34 | 7 | -16 | 32 |
| 12, Relegation play-off | Gwangju FC | 34 | 3 | -39 | 22 |
K League 1 on the same day
- 4630241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- 363231XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →