K League 1 (South Korea), round 35 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
FC Seoul — Ulsan HD FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
FC Seoul are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Seoul are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- FC Seoul are 166 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: FC Seoul — No. 1, 67 pts; Ulsan HD FC — No. 2, 54 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: FC Seoul 3 wins, Ulsan HD FC 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Seoul — Ulsan HD FC What is xG? | 1.8–1.2 | |
| FC Seoul not to lose | 75% | |
| Ulsan HD FC not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Seoul
- FC Seoul goals
- Ulsan HD FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Seoul | Ulsan HD FC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| xG per match | 1.38 | 0.90 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.68 | 1.02 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 10.7 |
| On target | 5.7 | 4.7 |
| Corners | 4.6 | 4.8 |
| Cards | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 59 | 47 |
Form
- 01.11Incheon United0:1
- 24.10Gangwon FC1:1
- 18.10Gimcheon Sangmu2:2
- 10.10Jeju SK2:1
- 20.09away · Pohang Steelers1:2
- 01.11Gangwon FC2:1
- 24.10Pohang Steelers2:2
- 17.10Bucheon FC 19952:1
- 11.10away · Gwangju FC3:4
- 19.09away · FC Anyang1:2
Head to head
- 08.09.2026Ulsan HD FC — FC Seoul1:0
- 26.07.2026FC Seoul — Ulsan HD FC1:3
- 15.04.2026Ulsan HD FC — FC Seoul1:4
- 24.08.2025FC Seoul — Ulsan HD FC3:2
- 20.07.2025FC Seoul — Ulsan HD FC1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | FC Seoul | 34 | 20 | +31 | 67 |
| 2, Championship round | Ulsan HD FC | 34 | 16 | +6 | 54 |
| 3, Championship round | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 34 | 13 | +12 | 50 |
K League 1 on the same day
- 4630241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 363231XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- 2732422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →