K League 1 (South Korea), round 35 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Gangwon FC — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Evenly matched: Gangwon FC 36%, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 31%, draw 32%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Gangwon FC are 52 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Gangwon FC — No. 6, 48 pts; Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — No. 4, 49 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Last 5 meetings: Gangwon FC 1 win, Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gangwon FC — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC What is xG? | 1.2–1.2 | |
| Gangwon FC not to lose | 69% | |
| Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Gangwon FC | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.51 | 0.90 |
| Shots | 11.7 | 12.0 |
| On target | 4.5 | 4.2 |
| Corners | 4.8 | 3.1 |
| Cards | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 53 | 52 |
Form
- 01.11away · Ulsan HD FC1:2
- 24.10away · FC Seoul1:1
- 18.10Incheon United1:1
- 09.10Bucheon FC 19952:0
- 27.09Incheon United0:0
- 31.10Daejeon Hana Citizen0:0
- 24.10away · FC Anyang1:1
- 18.10Jeju SK3:2
- 09.10away · Daejeon Hana Citizen1:2
- 20.09Gwangju FC2:2
Head to head
- 09.09.2026Gangwon FC — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC1:1
- 04.07.2026Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Gangwon FC1:2
- 18.04.2026Gangwon FC — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC1:1
- 01.11.2025Gangwon FC — Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC0:0
- 23.07.2025Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC — Gangwon FC2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Championship round | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 34 | 13 | +12 | 50 |
| 4, Championship round | Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC | 34 | 12 | +10 | 49 |
| 5, Championship round | Incheon United | 34 | 13 | +9 | 49 |
| 6, Championship round | Gangwon FC | 34 | 11 | +9 | 48 |
| 7, Relegation round | Jeju SK | 34 | 12 | +2 | 47 |
K League 1 on the same day
- 4630241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- 2732422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →