Ukrainian Premier League, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK

Bukovyna Chernivtsi — Kryvbas

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Model prediction for 25 October

Bukovyna Chernivtsi33%
Draw32%
Kryvbas35%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Bukovyna Chernivtsi 33%, Kryvbas 35%, draw 32%.

2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Kryvbas are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Bukovyna Chernivtsi — Kryvbas What is xG?1.1–1.2
Bukovyna Chernivtsi not to lose65%
Kryvbas not to lose67%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.541%
Total under 2.559%

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  • Handicap Bukovyna Chernivtsi
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  • Kryvbas goals
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Form

Bukovyna Chernivtsi

  • 11.10Polissya Zhytomyr2:2
  • 19.09away · FC Kharkiv0:2
  • 13.09Zorya1:1
  • 06.09away · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi0:0
  • 31.08Dynamo Kyiv3:0

Kryvbas

  • 18.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr0:1
  • 05.09FC Kolos Kovalivka2:2
  • 30.08away · Chornomorets Odesa0:1
  • 15.08Liviy Bereh1:1
  • 09.08away · Zorya3:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
9FC Kolos Kovalivka72239–11-28
10Bukovyna Chernivtsi81526–8-28
11Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi82247–10-38
12Liviy Bereh71425–6-17
13, Relegation play-offKryvbas61237–10-35
14, Relegation play-offChornomorets Odesa71244–9-55

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ukrainian Premier League on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →