EFL Championship, round 11 · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Burnley — Wolverhampton Wanderers
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Evenly matched: Burnley 38%, Wolverhampton Wanderers 33%, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 57%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Burnley are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Burnley: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Burnley — Wolverhampton Wanderers What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Burnley not to lose | 67% | |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 57% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 43% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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- Handicap Burnley
- Burnley goals
- Wolverhampton Wanderers goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 13.10Charlton Athletic2:2
- 10.10away · Watford4:0
- 19.09Derby County1:1
- 12.09away · Swansea City1:3
- 08.09away · Wrexham1:1
- 13.10Bolton Wanderers1:3
- 10.10away · Middlesbrough0:1
- 20.09West Bromwich Albion1:0
- 16.09away · Everton0:1
- 13.09away · Sheffield United1:0
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Burnley — Wolverhampton Wanderers1:1
- 26.10.2025Wolverhampton Wanderers — Burnley2:3
- 28.08.2024Wolverhampton Wanderers — Burnley2:0
- 02.04.2024Burnley — Wolverhampton Wanderers1:1
- 05.12.2023Wolverhampton Wanderers — Burnley1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers | 9 | 3 | +3 | 14 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 9 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Millwall | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 20 | Portsmouth | 8 | 2 | -2 | 8 |
| 21 | Burnley | 10 | 1 | -4 | 8 |
| 22, Relegation | Watford | 10 | 2 | -11 | 8 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →