FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Burton Albion — AFC Rushden & Diamonds
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Burton Albion are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Burton Albion are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- Burton Albion are 182 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Burton Albion — AFC Rushden & Diamonds What is xG? | 1.7–1.1 | |
| Burton Albion not to lose | 75% | |
| AFC Rushden & Diamonds not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Burton Albion
- Burton Albion goals
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
- 08.08Blackburn Rovers1:2
- 14.02West Ham United0:1
- 10.01away · Boreham Wood5:0
- 08.12away · Brackley Town3:1
- 01.11St Albans6:0
No past matches in the data yet.
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →