Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Cambuur — PSV Eindhoven
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
PSV Eindhoven are clear favourites: 69% against 12% for the opponent, draw 20%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 71%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings PSV Eindhoven are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
- PSV Eindhoven are 166 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Cambuur — No. 9, 15 pts; PSV Eindhoven — No. 3, 23 pts. A gap of 8 pts.
- Cambuur: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cambuur — PSV Eindhoven What is xG? | 1.2–2.6 | |
| Cambuur not to lose | 31% | |
| PSV Eindhoven not to lose | 88% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 71% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 29% |
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- Handicap Cambuur
- Cambuur goals
- PSV Eindhoven goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Cambuur | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 1.47 | 1.74 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.55 | 1.57 |
| Shots | 12.9 | 16.0 |
| On target | 5.5 | 5.0 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 5.6 |
| Cards | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 47 | 58 |
Form
- 31.10Go Ahead Eagles4:0
- 24.10away · Willem II6:1
- 18.10AZ Alkmaar2:2
- 11.10away · PEC Zwolle1:0
- 19.09away · ADO Den Haag1:1
- 31.10Willem II7:0
- 25.10Feyenoord1:1
- 20.10away · FC Porto1:0
- 17.10away · ADO Den Haag1:2
- 13.10away · RB Leipzig0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Ajax | 11 | 7 | +17 | 24 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7 | +22 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 11 | 7 | +18 | 23 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 11 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 9 | Cambuur | 11 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3 | -4 | 14 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- 2026542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.4
- 5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 6123171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- 4328301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 69% will not happen in roughly 31 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →