Eredivisie (Netherlands), round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
SC Heerenveen — Feyenoord
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Feyenoord are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Feyenoord are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Feyenoord are 68 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: SC Heerenveen — No. 7, 18 pts; Feyenoord — No. 1, 25 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
- SC Heerenveen: 3 wins in a row; Feyenoord: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: SC Heerenveen 1 win, Feyenoord 3, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: SC Heerenveen 8, Feyenoord 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SC Heerenveen — Feyenoord What is xG? | 1.3–2.1 | |
| SC Heerenveen not to lose | 46% | |
| Feyenoord not to lose | 80% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | SC Heerenveen | Feyenoord |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| xG per match | 1.66 | 1.91 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.48 | 1.23 |
| Shots | 15.3 | 15.4 |
| On target | 5.6 | 6.5 |
| Corners | 4.9 | 5.2 |
| Cards | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 51 |
Form
- 31.10NEC Nijmegen1:0
- 24.10away · ADO Den Haag3:2
- 16.10Excelsior4:0
- 09.10away · PSV Eindhoven0:2
- 19.09away · Sparta Rotterdam4:0
- 03.11Inter0:3
- 31.10Fortuna Sittard1:1
- 25.10away · PSV Eindhoven1:1
- 21.10away · Real Betis0:1
- 17.10away · Telstar4:3
Head to head
- 11.01.2026SC Heerenveen — Feyenoord2:2
- 13.09.2025Feyenoord — SC Heerenveen1:0
- 18.05.2025SC Heerenveen — Feyenoord2:0
- 23.11.2024Feyenoord — SC Heerenveen3:0
- 17.03.2024SC Heerenveen — Feyenoord2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League | Feyenoord | 11 | 7 | +21 | 25 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Ajax | 11 | 7 | +17 | 24 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5 | 0 | 19 |
| 7 | SC Heerenveen | 11 | 5 | +6 | 18 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 11 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
Eredivisie on the same day
- 5026241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
- 1220692The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.7
- 6123171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.5
- 4328301The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →