EFL Championship, round 14 · Wednesday, 4 November, (UTC+3)
Cardiff City — West Ham United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 4 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
West Ham United are clear favourites: 51% against 25% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.
Over 2.5 goals — 67%, both teams to score — 69%.
Why
- By the strength ratings West Ham United are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- West Ham United are 99 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Cardiff City — No. 19, 10 pts; West Ham United — No. 4, 19 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cardiff City — West Ham United What is xG? | 1.5–2.2 | |
| Cardiff City not to lose | 49% | |
| West Ham United not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 31% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 67% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 33% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cardiff City
- Cardiff City goals
- West Ham United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10Watford5:1
- 10.10away · Blackburn Rovers1:2
- 19.09Charlton Athletic3:1
- 12.09away · Bolton Wanderers0:1
- 08.09Stoke City1:1
- 14.10away · Lincoln City6:0
- 09.10Queens Park Rangers1:1
- 19.09away · Millwall2:2
- 15.09Fulham2:3
- 11.09Wrexham6:0
Head to head
- 09.03.2019Cardiff City — West Ham United2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Southampton | 10 | 6 | +11 | 20 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | West Ham United | 10 | 5 | +17 | 19 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Birmingham City | 10 | 4 | +6 | 17 |
| 18 | Lincoln City | 10 | 3 | -10 | 11 |
| 19 | Cardiff City | 10 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 20 | Norwich City | 10 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
Championship on the same day
- WrexhamMiddlesbroughpreliminary2629442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.7
- Bristol CityWolverhampton Wandererspreliminary3229392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →