FA Cup · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Carlisle United — Salford City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Carlisle United 33%, Salford City 40%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.3.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Carlisle United — Salford City What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| Carlisle United not to lose | 60% | |
| Salford City not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Carlisle United
- Carlisle United goals
- Salford City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
Form
- 07.12away · Blackpool1:4
- 01.11away · Reading3:2
- 02.11Wigan Athletic0:2
- 13.08Stoke City0:2
- 04.11away · Leyton Orient1:3
- 08.08Shrewsbury Town1:1
- 14.02away · Manchester City0:2
- 20.01Swindon Town3:2
- 05.12Leyton Orient4:0
- 01.11Lincoln City1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
FA Cup on the same day
- 3727371The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 4925261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- 3927351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 6022171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- 2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 4027341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 2826462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.8
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →