Segunda Division, round 9 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estadio Abanca-Balaídos
Celta Fortuna — Real Sociedad B
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4:1Came true
In short
Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, Celta Fortuna to win (42%), came true.
Celta Fortuna are slightly stronger: 42% against 30%, draw 28%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celta Fortuna — Real Sociedad B What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Celta Fortuna not to lose | 70% | |
| Real Sociedad B not to lose | 58% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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- Handicap Celta Fortuna
- Celta Fortuna goals
- Real Sociedad B goals
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Form
- 04.10away · Sporting Gijón2:3
- 26.09Sabadell1:1
- 20.09away · Almería0:2
- 14.09Eibar0:4
- 05.09away · AD Ceuta FC2:0
- 04.10Granada2:3
- 26.09away · AD Ceuta FC1:3
- 19.09Mallorca0:1
- 12.09away · FC Andorra3:1
- 05.09Tenerife1:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Tenerife | 9 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 | Celta Fortuna | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 18 | Córdoba | 9 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 19, Relegation | Real Sociedad B | 9 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 20, Relegation | Cádiz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Next matches
- Real Sociedad BAlmería17 October · Segunda Division3027432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0
- Celta FortunaTenerife19 October · Segunda Division5127221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
Segunda Division on the same day
- 2528472The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.2.6
- 343036XThe most likely outcome did not happen: X2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:2.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →