La Liga, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Celta Vigo — Levante
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Celta Vigo are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Celta Vigo are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Celta Vigo are 106 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Celta Vigo — No. 10, 12 pts; Levante — No. 18, 10 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Celta Vigo 3 wins, Levante 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Celta Vigo — Levante What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Celta Vigo not to lose | 85% | |
| Levante not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Celta Vigo
- Celta Vigo goals
- Levante goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Celta Vigo | Levante |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.20 | 1.45 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.84 | 1.96 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 12.9 |
| On target | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 3.8 |
| Cards | 1.5 | 1.6 |
| Possession, % | 49 | 43 |
Form
- 31.10away · Rayo Vallecano0:3
- 25.10Real Betis0:0
- 22.10away · Celtic2:1
- 18.10Deportivo Alavés2:1
- 15.10Juventus1:2
- 31.10Atlético Madrid0:2
- 25.10away · Real Sociedad1:2
- 21.10Athletic Club3:1
- 16.10away · Deportivo A Coruña1:1
- 12.10Sevilla3:3
Head to head
- 12.05.2026Celta Vigo — Levante2:3
- 02.11.2025Levante — Celta Vigo1:2
- 21.02.2022Celta Vigo — Levante1:1
- 21.09.2021Levante — Celta Vigo0:2
- 30.04.2021Celta Vigo — Levante2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Villarreal | 11 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 11 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Deportivo Alavés | 11 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 17 | Elche | 11 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 18, Relegation | Levante | 11 | 2 | -5 | 10 |
| 19, Relegation | Valencia | 11 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
La Liga on the same day
- 3129402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.9
- 5227211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
- 7020101The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- 2628462The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →