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La Liga, round 12 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)

Elche — Real Betis

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Model prediction for 8 November

Elche31%
Draw29%
Real Betis40%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Real Betis are slightly stronger: 40% against 31%, draw 29%.

2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).

Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 62%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Real Betis are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • League table: Elche — No. 17, 10 pts; Real Betis — No. 4, 23 pts. A gap of 13 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Elche 0 wins, Real Betis 4, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Elche — Real Betis What is xG?1.4–1.5
Elche not to lose60%
Real Betis not to lose69%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes62%
Both teams to score: no38%
Total over 2.556%
Total under 2.544%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Elche
  • Elche goals
  • Real Betis goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatElcheReal Betis
Goals scored per match1.62.0
Goals conceded per match1.31.4
xG per match1.581.81
Opponents’ xG1.381.33
Shots14.118.3
On target4.96.6
Corners5.15.1
Cards2.81.9
Possession, %5453

Averages per match: Elche — the last 10, Real Betis — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Elche

  • 01.11Valencia0:1
  • 27.10away · Atletico Pinatarense3:1
  • 24.10away · Rayo Vallecano3:0
  • 17.10away · Villarreal0:0
  • 11.10Celta Vigo0:0

Real Betis

  • 31.10Málaga2:1
  • 25.10away · Celta Vigo0:0
  • 21.10Feyenoord1:0
  • 17.10Barcelona2:5
  • 14.10FC Porto3:2

Head to head

  • 12.05.2026Real Betis — Elche2:1
  • 14.01.2026Real Betis — Elche2:1
  • 18.08.2025Elche — Real Betis1:1
  • 24.02.2023Elche — Real Betis2:3
  • 15.08.2022Real Betis — Elche3:0

Full record: 9 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Champions LeagueReal Madrid1190228–10+1827
4, Champions LeagueReal Betis1172218–15+323
5, Europa League or Conference LeagueReal Sociedad1161420–20019
16Racing Santander1132615–29-1411
17Elche1124514–18-410
18, RelegationLevante1124516–21-510

Season 2026/27

Full table

La Liga on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →